This post is a correction to this earlier post, which made a short-sighted argument regarding why the One China Policy has been scrapped with no public announcement.
The primary premise of the prior, now corrected, post that the presence of U.S. troops and diplomatic personnel in Taiwan validates the end of the One China Policy and a lack of commitment by the U.S. to not defend Taiwan, in accordance with the One China Policy, was a short-sighted argument. Yes, while it is true that the U.S. has sent in troops and diplomatic personnel into Taiwan, the quantity of troops and diplomatic personnel isn’t significant enough to deter a Chinese invasion.
Diplomatic personnel are not usually a deterrence in war, and they are usually withdrawn at the first signs of hostilities, by air. The are so few US military personnel on Taiwan, that they likely wouldn’t be a big deterrence either. The US would have some advance notice of a Chinese invasion.
Unlike South Korea, in comparison, where the U.S. has 47,000 troops stationed there, the much lower quantity of U.S. troops in Taiwan doesn’t deter an invasion from an aggressive neighbor, such as China or North Korea.
While the remaining points of the corrected previous post are still valid, especially the immense nuclear build up of conventional and nuclear military capabilities by Russia and China, in conjunction with the West permitting that and needing that to eventually provoke a nuclear first-strike on U.S. soil to materialize the ultimate end goal of the New World Order, the One China Policy remains in effect, as it has been since its origin.
The forecast of this corrected post is that the One China Policy will remain in effect up to the point where China, along with Russia, is ready to launch a nuclear strike on the U.S., thereby igniting World War 3; at that point, all prior rules, conventions, laws, standards, and other key elements holding civilization together will be gone, which likely won’t happen earlier than 2027.